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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
PEC Zwolle

Almere City
1 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Jacobs (90+6')
Cathline (38'), Barbet (42'), Jacobs (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van den Berg (4'), Vellios (90+7')
Garcia McNulty (23'), El Azzouzi (86'), Vellios (90+3')
El Azzouzi (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-1 Almere City
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Utrecht
Sunday, August 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 0-1 PEC Zwolle

Almere have struggled making the step-up so far, and games against a similar level of opposition is where their top-flight future will be decided. Another win over struggling opposition could lift Zwolle as high as the top eight here, before there will be bigger challenges to come, so they will fancy their chances after last week's win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PEC Zwolle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PEC Zwolle.

Result
Almere CityDrawPEC Zwolle
37.73% (0.267 0.27) 24.38% (0.177 0.18) 37.89% (-0.44 -0.44)
Both teams to score 60.04% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (-0.849 -0.85)42.72% (0.851 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)65.13% (0.854 0.85)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.24400000000001 -0.24)22.56% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.85% (-0.367 -0.37)56.15% (0.369 0.37)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.59699999999999 -0.6)22.47% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.903 -0.9)56.02% (0.905 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 37.73%
    PEC Zwolle 37.89%
    Draw 24.37%
Almere CityDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.79% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.73%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.189 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.89%

How you voted: Almere City vs PEC Zwolle

Almere City
0.0%
Draw
11.1%
PEC Zwolle
88.9%
9
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2023 7pm
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 19
PEC Zwolle
3-2
Almere City
Van den Belt (31'), Van den Berg (65'), Vellios (86')
Pascu (25'), Hilterman (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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