MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 09:59:28| >> :600:3243738:3243738:
Shrewsbury Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Port Vale

Shrewsbury
0 - 4
Port Vale


Bowman (26'), Nurse (54'), Hutchings (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Politic (15', 56', 57'), Walker (74')
McDermott (38'), Robinson (65')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Shrewsbury Town and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
19.9% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 23.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 57.03% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.33% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)48.17% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)70.32% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)38.41% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (-0.07 -0.07)75.17% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)16.66% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)46.51% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 19.9%
    Port Vale 57.01%
    Draw 23.07%
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 6.12% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.93% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 19.9%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 6.14% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 0.99%
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 57.01%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Port Vale

Shrewsbury Town
53.8%
Draw
7.7%
Port Vale
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Amoo (63' pen.), Archer (75')
Kennedy (27' og.)
Love (69')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Shrewsbury
Port Vale win 4-3 on penalties
Pope (83')
Gibbons (51'), Rawlinson (60')
Sears (63')
Rowland (39')
Dec 5, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-2
Shrewsbury
Montano (1')
Gunning (13')
Dodds (68'), Whalley (81')
Morris (13'), Sadler (41'), Morris (67'), Beckles (90')
Mar 17, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Foley (66'), Taylor (69')
Kiko (52'), Taylor (89')
Dodds (74')
Humphrys (86')
rhs 2.0
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