EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 10, 2021 at 7pm UK
St James Park
Exeter5 - 3Bristol Rovers
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
43.96% | 25.3% | 30.74% |
Both teams to score 55.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.57% | 48.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.44% | 70.56% |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% | 22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.69% | 55.31% |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.6% | 29.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.61% | 65.38% |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City 43.96%
Bristol Rovers 30.74%
Draw 25.29%
Exeter City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.92% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.74% |
How you voted: Exeter vs Bristol Rovers
Exeter City
74.6%Draw
18.6%Bristol Rovers
6.8%59
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Nov 28, 2015 3pm
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-13 16:41:41
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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