MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 02:37:24| >> :600:966058:966058:
Southampton logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Lincoln City

Southampton
2 - 1
Lincoln

Adams (25', 74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bazunu (2' og.)
O'Connor (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lincoln 4-2 Everton U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Southampton 2-0 Lincoln City

With no game at the weekend, Lincoln make the long trip to the South coast fully refreshed. However, they are likely to take on a Saints side full of first-team players, leading us to predict a comfortable victory for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLincoln City
49.09% (-0.329 -0.33) 23.78% (-0.129 -0.13) 27.13% (0.455 0.45)
Both teams to score 57.74% (0.842 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (0.929 0.93)43.83% (-0.932 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (0.902 0.9)66.22% (-0.904 -0.9)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (0.22999999999999 0.23)17.97% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.18% (0.39400000000001 0.39)48.82% (-0.395 -0.4)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.82900000000001 0.83)29.61% (-0.831 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.997 1)65.65% (-0.999 -1)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 49.09%
    Lincoln City 27.13%
    Draw 23.78%
SouthamptonDrawLincoln City
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Southampton vs Lincoln

Southampton
67.5%
Draw
10.0%
Lincoln City
22.5%
80
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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