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Burnley logo
Premier League | Gameweek 9
Nov 23, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Crystal Palace logo

Burnley
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Wood (8')
Rodriguez (79'), Lowton (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Burnley vs. Crystal Palace - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Burnley welcome Crystal Palace to Turf Moor on Monday evening still looking for their first Premier League win of the season.

Meanwhile, the Eagles make the trip to the North West having prevailed in two of their last three outings, taking the club into eighth position in the standings.


Match preview

Burnley manager Sean Dyche pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Amid speculation regarding a takeover, Sean Dyche finds himself in a situation where he will be eager to use any transfer funds which may come with a change in ownership.

However, the long-serving Clarets boss must first ensure that he remains in his current position at Turf Moor after an uninspiring opening to the season.

Although injuries and a lack of investment have played their part, Dyche would have expected more than two points and three goals from the club's opening seven fixtures.

Those two points, achieved at West Bromwich Albion and Brighton & Hove Albion, did little to lift the mood among the team's fanbase, who will naturally be fearing for their future in the top flight.

Nevertheless, Burnley still sit just two points adrift of safety, meaning that victory over Palace has the potential to kick-start their season.

From Palace's perspective, Roy Hodgson and his squad will have ambitions to become a constant fixture in the top half of the table after collecting 13 points from eight matches.

Hodgson has witnessed his team let slip promising positions in previous years, disappointment which should only add extra motivation at a club which is at risk of stagnating.

The 4-1 triumph at home to Leeds United could act as the catalyst for change, a win made all the more impressive with Wilfried Zaha not getting on the scoresheet.

The forward has enjoyed a strong start to the season but there are signs that several of his teammates - new and old - are ready to play their part over the coming months.

Burnley Premier League form: LLDLLD
Burnley form (all competitions): LLDLLD

Crystal Palace Premier League form: LLDWLW



Team News

Crystal Palace winger Eberechi Eze in action during 2020-21 pre-season© Reuters

Eberechi Eze is a doubt for Palace after being forced to withdraw from international duty with England Under-21s.

Luka Milivojevic serves the second game of a three-match ban, but James Tomkins, Gary Cahill and Tyrick Mitchell are all back in contention after injury.

Burnley may have to make do without Robbie Brady, who sustained an injury during his time with Republic of Ireland.

Johan Berg Gudmundsson could receive a recall on the right flank, although Dyche may look for a way to bring Dale Stephens back into the team.

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Pieters; Gudmundsson, Westwood, Stephens, McNeil; Barnes, Wood

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Guaita; Clyne, Kouyate, Dann, Van Aanholt; Townsend, Riedewald, McArthur, Schlupp; Ayew, Zaha


SM words green background

We say: Burnley 1-1 Crystal Palace

Sitting in the top 10 in the table, Hodgson will see this game as an opportunity to strengthen their position. However, Burnley will match the visitors for desire on Monday evening, which could lead to a low-scoring draw being played out between two well-matched sides.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.


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Crystal Palace winger Wilfried Zaha pictured in September 2020
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2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
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4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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