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Copa Libertadores
Gremio
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Estudiantes

Gremio
vs.
Estudiantes

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Gremio and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Gremio
Sunday, April 28 at 1am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Gremio
Sunday, May 12 at 1am in Brasileiro

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Velez Sarsfield (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: The Strongest vs. Estudiantes
Friday, May 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.79%).

Result
GremioDrawEstudiantes
53.68% (0.186 0.19) 25.71% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 20.61% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 44.8% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.61% (0.154 0.15)57.39% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.8% (0.123 0.12)78.21% (-0.125 -0.13)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (0.14100000000001 0.14)21.45% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.53% (0.217 0.22)54.47% (-0.219 -0.22)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.03% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)42.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.74% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)79.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 53.68%
    Estudiantes 20.61%
    Draw 25.71%
GremioDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 14.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1%
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.61%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Estudiantes
0-1
Gremio

Palacios (23'), Perez (59')
Ribeiro (75')
Cristaldo (32'), Galdino (36'), Villasanti (45+2'), Marchesin (68'), Pedro (69'), Da Silva (90')
Villasanti (66')
Aug 29, 2018 1.45am
Round of 16
Gremio
2-1
Estudiantes
(Aggregate 1-1 | Gremio win 5-3 on penalties)
Everton (6'), Alisson (92')
Souza (22'), Ramiro (45'), Moura (47'), Alisson (93'), Andre (94')
Rodriguez (9')
Sanchez (46'), Luguercio (64'), Campi (65'), Lattanzio (73'), Brana (85')
Aug 8, 2018 1.45am
Round of 16
Estudiantes
2-1
Gremio
Apaolaza (9'), Campi (38')
Rodriguez (24'), Zuqui (33'), Erquiaga (58'), Sanchez (68')
Zuqui (77')
Kannemann (44')
Kannemann (30'), Souza (33')
rhs 2.0
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