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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Plymouth Argyle

Norwich
2 - 1
Plymouth

Sargent (67'), Phillips (74' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Whittaker (10')
Randell (18'), Foster (19'), Sorinola (30'), Miller (35'), Houghton (70'), Devine (70'), Forshaw (80'), Pleguezuelo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Preston
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Plymouth Argyle

Both teams enter Friday's contest in contrasting form, but high-flying Norwich cannot take Plymouth lightly considering their thumping by the Pilgrims in the reverse fixture. However, the Canaries are in a strong position this time around to gain revenge and have plenty of attacking options at their disposal to outscore their opponents en route to an important victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 69.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
69.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.25% (0.0030000000000001 0) 12.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 48.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.37% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)10.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04%80.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 69.71%
    Plymouth Argyle 12.03%
    Draw 18.25%
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.05%
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 8.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.11%
4-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84%
5-0 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 69.71%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 18.25%
0-1 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.02%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 12.03%

How you voted: Norwich vs Plymouth

Norwich City
87.5%
Draw
10.9%
Plymouth Argyle
1.6%
64
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Plymouth
6-2
Norwich
Whittaker (15', 45+3', 59'), Scarr (35'), Azaz (45+5'), Cundle (90+7')
Scarr (68')
Idah (72', 78')
Mar 14, 2009 3pm
Norwich
1-0
Plymouth
Mooney (53')
Doherty (42'), Mooney (54'), Russell (65')
Russell (90')

Seip (7')
Sep 13, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Norwich
Gallagher (90')
Timar (20'), Walton (55')
Timar (34')
Sibierski (59'), Lupoli (15')
Omozusi (22'), Lupoli (43')
Dec 4, 2007 3pm
Norwich
2-1
Plymouth
Huckerby (87' pen.), Evans (2')
Russell (57')
Timar (89')
Hayles (38'), Nalis (45'), Connolly (86'), Ebanks-Blake (90')
Nov 10, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Norwich
Connolly (47'), Norris (49'), R Martin (26')
Timar (5')

Russell (30'), Shackell (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
17Millwall441411194355-1253
18Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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