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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | West Bromwich Albion | 8 | 2 | 9 |
17 | Middlesbrough | 8 | -1 | 9 |
18 | Luton Town | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
21 | Birmingham City | 8 | -3 | 8 |
22 | Cardiff City | 8 | -4 | 8 |
23 | Huddersfield Town | 7 | -4 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
56.76% ( 0.07) | 26.01% ( 0.02) | 17.22% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 39.17% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.96% ( -0.16) | 62.03% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.23% ( -0.12) | 81.76% ( 0.12) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( -0.04) | 22.09% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.55% ( -0.06) | 55.45% ( 0.06) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.28% ( -0.21) | 49.71% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.54% ( -0.15) | 84.45% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 16.58% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.75% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.38% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 17.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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