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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Stoke logo

Hull City
0 - 2
Stoke

FT(HT: 0-0)
Laurent (69'), Hoever (90+3')
McNally (18'), Rose (28'), Laurent (33'), Stevens (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Hull City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Leicester
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 3-1 Stoke City

Only one of the last five meetings between Hull and Stoke have seen both teams score – the aforementioned reverse fixture – but we can see these two sides having joy in the final third on Good Friday. Having said that, playoff hopefuls Hull will be regarded as favourites to come out on top and should ultimately have enough quality in the final third to claim maximum points, ending their four-game winless home run in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawStoke City
45.76%25.48%28.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 53.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86%50.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89%72.11% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1%21.9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84%55.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.09%
Score Analysis
    Hull City 45.75%
    Stoke City 28.76%
    Draw 25.48%
Hull CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.75%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.76%

How you voted: Hull City vs Stoke

Hull City
67.8%
Draw
20.3%
Stoke City
11.9%
59
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 8
Stoke
1-3
Hull City
Vidigal (77')
Wilmot (42'), Laurent (75')
Connolly (30'), Traore (32'), Slater (73')
Jones (38'), Michael Seri (45+4'), Greaves (55')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hull City
0-3
Stoke
Baker (25', 64'), Wilmot (45')
Jan 16, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 27
Hull City
0-2
Stoke

Docherty (17'), Bernard (64'), Smallwood (70')
Brown (22'), Ince (50')
Doughty (81')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
2-0
Hull City
Vrancic (35'), Powell (58')
Clucas (87'), Surridge (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
17Millwall441411194355-1253
18Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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