Malmo

2 - 1

HJK Helsinki

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.