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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Marseille

Frankfurt
2 - 1
Marseille

Kamada (3'), Kolo (27')
Kolo (54'), Smolcic (57'), Ebimbe (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Guendouzi (22')
Tavares (25'), Veretout (40'), Tudor (72'), Suarez Charris (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille

Frankfurt clearly head into this match in superior form and we expect them to return to winning ways in Europe as a result. Deutsche Bank Park is likely to have a raucous atmosphere with this match representing a potentially do or die scenario in terms of the hosts' progression to the knockout stages, with Marseille not exactly looking like a team capable of riding much adversity at present. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt in this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMarseille
36.01% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 25.03% (0.02 0.02) 38.96% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.59% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)45.84% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)68.16% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)24.9% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)59.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)23.32% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (-0.106 -0.11)57.26% (0.105 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 36.01%
    Marseille 38.96%
    Draw 25.03%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.07% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 36.01%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.96%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Marseille

Eintracht Frankfurt
68.8%
Draw
15.6%
Marseille
15.6%
308
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Nov 29, 2018 8pm
Group H
Frankfurt
4-0
Marseille
Jovic (2', 67'), Gustavo (17' og.), Sarr (62' og.)
Fernandes (33'), Kostic (90')

Gustavo (71')
Sep 20, 2018 5.55pm
Group H
Marseille
1-2
Frankfurt
Ocampos (3')
Torro (52'), Jovic (89')
Willems (16')
Willems (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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