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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Stuttgart

Mainz 05
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
32.51%24.25%43.24%
Both teams to score 59.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97%43.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57%65.43%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4%25.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51%60.49%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93%20.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69%52.3%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 32.51%
    Stuttgart 43.24%
    Draw 24.25%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.66%
1-0 @ 7%
2-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.51%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-1 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 4.83%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 43.24%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Stuttgart
2-3
Mainz
Gonzalez (83'), Kempf (85')
Kempf (20'), Ascacibar (89')
Ascacibar (22' og.), Mateta (28'), Hack (72')
Brosinski (84'), Holtmann (90')
Aug 26, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Mainz
1-0
Stuttgart
Ujah (76')
Holtmann (63')

Ascacibar (79'), Sosa (90')
Jan 20, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
3-2
Stuttgart
Muto (45', 54'), Holtmann (64')
de Jong (47'), Zentner (90')
Badstuber (19'), Ginczek (90')
Insua (12'), Ginczek (59'), Burnic (75'), Pavard (83')
Dec 19, 2017 5.30pm
Third Round
Mainz
3-1
Stuttgart
Berggreen (62'), Diallo (71'), Serdar (90')
Latza (38'), Quaison (54')
Gentner (42')
Beck (70')
Aug 26, 2017 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Hoffenheim32117145664-840
8Freiburg31117134355-1240
9Augsburg31109124852-439
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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