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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Wolfsburg

FC Koln
0 - 2
Wolfsburg


Hector (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerhardt (4'), Arnold (68' pen.)
Svanberg (73'), Nmecha (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 FC Koln
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Wolfsburg

FC Koln have suffered a solitary defeat in six games since the restart, picking up positive results against the likes of Bayern Munich, RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt, while Wolfsburg have lost three of their last four outings. On top of that, Koln's recent record at RheinEnergieStadion is hugely impressive, so we expect the Billy Goats to edge out the Wolves on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawWolfsburg
45.99% (0.29499999999999 0.29) 24.77% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 29.23% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.96% (-0.275 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.269 -0.27)46.87% (0.267 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (-0.253 -0.25)69.13% (0.251 0.25)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)52.9% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)29.65% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (-0.442 -0.44)65.7% (0.441 0.44)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 45.99%
    Wolfsburg 29.23%
    Draw 24.77%
FC KolnDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.113 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.23%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Wolfsburg

FC Koln
75.0%
Draw
13.3%
Wolfsburg
11.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-4
FC Koln
Nmecha (2', 79')
van de Ven (38'), Marmoush (82')
Ljubicic (22'), Otavio (32' og.), Kainz (45+2' pen.), Adamyan (81')
Duda (63')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Nmecha (8'), Weghorst (51')
Nmecha (14'), Roussillon (80'), Arnold (81')
Modeste (34', 89'), Uth (73')
Schmitz (61'), Czichos (87')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Wolfsburg
Thielmann (18'), Duda (43')
Arnold (29'), Weghorst (47')
Otavio (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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