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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Wolfsburg

Hertha Berlin
0 - 5
Wolfsburg


Rogel (28'), Lukebakio (30')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Svanberg (4'), Arnold (31' pen.), Wind (34'), Baku (72'), Marmoush (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-0 Freiburg
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 0-2 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg boss Kovac will be forced into a couple of unwanted alterations for Tuesday's game, but the defensively-sound and clinical visitors will be expected to extend their impressive winning run here. Hertha tend to do well on the goalscoring front at home, but Wolfsburg have tightened up at the back ten-fold over the winter period and should encounter few issues en route to another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawWolfsburg
38.2% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3) 25.38% (-0.061 -0.06) 36.42% (0.362 0.36)
Both teams to score 56.39% (0.246 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (0.30500000000001 0.31)47.41% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (0.282 0.28)69.63% (-0.279 -0.28)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)58.84% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.34700000000001 0.35)25.39% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (0.473 0.47)60.2% (-0.47 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 38.2%
    Wolfsburg 36.42%
    Draw 25.38%
Hertha BerlinDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.2%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.83% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 36.42%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Wolfsburg

Hertha Berlin
14.2%
Draw
12.6%
Wolfsburg
73.2%
127
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Wolfsburg
Lukebakio (60' pen.)
Boateng (29')
Baku (74'), Nmecha (88')
Mbabu (31'), Roussillon (73')
Feb 27, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-0
Hertha Berlin
Klunter (38' og.), Lacroix (89')
Otavio (45'), Mbabu (47'), Pongracic (48'), Bialek (90+5')
Pongracic (90+4')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
Jan 25, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
17FC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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