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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Dortmund logo

Hoffenheim
0 - 1
Dortmund


Kabak (27'), Baumann (57'), Vogt (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brandt (43')
Bellingham (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, February 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

While the absence of Adeyemi could make Dortmund a less potent threat in transition, they will surely still possess enough firepower to swat aside a woefully out-of-sorts Hoffenheim side. Saturday's meeting represents bottom versus top as far as the form table is concerned, with the visitors growing in belief that they can push Bayern all of the way for the league title this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 55.81%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.14%) and 1-3 (6.74%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
23.46% (0.197 0.2) 20.72% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 55.81% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 64.78% (0.337 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.15% (0.328 0.33)32.84% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.45% (0.376 0.38)54.54% (-0.38 -0.38)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (0.337 0.34)26.49% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (0.447 0.45)61.68% (-0.449 -0.45)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.12% (0.054000000000002 0.05)11.87% (-0.057 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.82% (0.11799999999999 0.12)37.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 23.46%
    Borussia Dortmund 55.81%
    Draw 20.72%
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 23.46%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.039 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.14% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.48% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.7% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.38% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.15% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.022 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 55.81%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Dortmund

Hoffenheim
11.0%
Draw
7.3%
Borussia Dortmund
81.7%
109
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
Aug 27, 2021 7.30pm
Dortmund
3-2
Hoffenheim
Reyna (49'), Bellingham (69'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
Dahoud (36'), Meunier (54')
Baumgartner (61'), Dabour (90')
Baumgartner (1'), Posch (7'), Geiger (20')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-2
Hoffenheim
Sancho (24'), Braut Haaland (81')
Delaney (21'), Akanji (67')
Dabour (31'), Bebou (51')
Rudy (27'), Grillitsch (57'), Vogt (59'), Posch (60'), Samassekou (65'), Dabour (85'), Gacinovic (90+2')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
17FC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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