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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
48.5% | 22.47% | 29.03% |
Both teams to score 63.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.71% | 36.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.58% | 58.42% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.64% | 15.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.87% | 44.13% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.56% | 24.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.13% | 58.87% |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.28% 1-0 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 5.8% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 4.08% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 4.03% Total : 48.5% | 1-1 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 3.75% 3-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-1 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
11 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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