With the title now within reach, Atletico do not look like they will be denied no matter how well or poorly they play in this encounter.
Bahia have been impressive at home, so they could cause Galo some problems early on, but there is just too much quality and depth with Atletico as opposed to Bahia, who have Gilberto but no one else who can consistently be a threat, which should make the defensive assignment for the league leaders reasonably simple.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
