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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Blackpool

Blackburn
1 - 1
Blackpool

Gallagher (10')
Gallagher (63'), Pickering (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ekpiteta (48')
Dougall (44'), Madine (85'), Bowler (90+2'), Connolly (90+6')

Preview: Blackburn Rovers vs. Blackpool - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Blackburn Rovers play host to Blackpool on Saturday afternoon knowing that only a win will do if they want to remain in close proximity to the Championship playoff places.

Meanwhile, Blackpool have recently dropped down to 16th position on the back of two successive defeats, and Neil Critchley's side may relish a second North-West derby in succession.


Match preview

Blackburn manager Tony Mowbray reacts on March 19, 2022© Reuters

Given their drop off in form, there has been an inevitability about Blackburn being forced outside of the top six for some time, and that ultimately occurred earlier this week.

As a result of victories for Nottingham Forest and Sheffield United, Rovers now sit in eighth position, a consequence of winning just two of their last 12 matches in the Championship.

It should have been three when they squared off against Coventry City last weekend, only for the hosts to score an equaliser deep into added-on time to earn a 2-2 draw.

While that result has the potential to knock the stuffing out of a floundering promotion bid, Tony Mowbray will retain hope ahead of a favourable run of matches during the run-in.

Defender Scott Wharton has netted twice in his last three appearances but Rovers require more from Ben Brereton Diaz now that he has returned from injury, the Chile international yet to score a Championship strike since the turn of the year.

Blackpool's Neil Critchley after the match on February 12, 2022© Reuters

Before the international break, Blackpool still had a glimmer of a chance of mounting a late playoff bid having recorded 10 points from a possible 12.

However, the two-week rest from action has had a detrimental effect on the Seasiders, who have since suffered back-to-back defeats at the hands of Nottingham Forest and Preston North End.

After being blown away by Forest, Critchley would have called for an immediate response against their rivals, but a goal in the final seconds of the first half gave Preston the three points.

Now sitting 12 points adrift of the top six, Blackpool are aware that mid-table respectability is their most realistic target, although that may be easier said than done with all but one of their remaining fixtures being against teams who are scrapping for promotion or to avoid relegation.

Blackburn Rovers Championship form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Blackpool Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Blackburn Rovers' Ben Brereton Diaz celebrates after the match on December 29, 2021© Reuters

Brereton Diaz will almost certainly make his return to the Blackburn XI, taking the place of Ryan Giles in attack.

After four substitute appearances, Mowbray may decide that Saturday is the right time to hand Bradley Dack his first start since recovering from a serious knee injury.

If Darragh Lenihan is passed fit after a groin injury, Ryan Nyambe could move to right wing-back, with Joe Rankin-Costello the player to drop out.

Critchley will be forced into at least one change after goalkeeper Daniel Grimshaw was forced off injured against Preston, which will result in Chris Maxwell returning between the sticks.

Shayne Lavery and Jerry Yates are both pushing for recalls in the final third with Gary Madine potentially dropping out of the starting lineup.

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Kaminski; Lenihan, Van Hecke, Wharton; Nyambe, Buckley, Rothwell, Pickering; Dack; Brereton Diaz, Gallagher

Blackpool possible starting lineup:
Maxwell; Connolly, Ekpiteta, Keogh, Husband; Dougall, Robson; Bowler, Anderson, Hamilton; Lavery


SM words green background

We say: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Blackpool

With both clubs showing very little form, this is a difficult match to call. It may come down to who wants it most and with Rovers desperately needing three points to build some momentum, we are backing a narrow home win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Blackburn vs Blackpool

Blackburn Rovers
72.2%
Draw
13.9%
Blackpool
13.9%
36
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5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
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7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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