Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Japan had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
-1.8) 
0.91) 
