MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 02:38:24| >> :600:5039438:5039438:
Senegal national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Mozambique national football team

Senegal
5 - 1
Mozambique

Sabaly (9'), Mane (15'), Ndiaye (32'), Dia (39'), Diallo (88')
Sarr (31'), Mane (52')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Vilanculos (48')
Kambala (13'), Vilanculos (61'), Junior (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Senegal and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 0-0 Senegal (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, February 4 at 7.30pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Madagascar 3-1 Mozambique
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

We said: Senegal 2-0 Mozambique

With their recent performances and results, Senegal have shown they are more than capable of getting the job done. The Lions of Teranga take on a Mozambique side 95 places below them in the latest FIFA World Rankings and we do not fancy any upset occurring at the Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 70.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 8.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.41%) and 3-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.12%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
SenegalDrawMozambique
70.5% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 21.24% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 8.25% (-0.0619 -0.06)
Both teams to score 28.8% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.62% (-0.119 -0.12)62.37% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.98% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)82.01% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)17.04% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)47.19% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.71% (-0.212 -0.21)65.28% (0.21300000000001 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.87% (-0.0909 -0.09)93.12% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 70.48%
    Mozambique 8.25%
    Draw 21.24%
SenegalDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 19.68% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 17.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 10.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.55% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 70.48%
0-0 @ 11.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-1 @ 8.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 1.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.24%
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 8.25%

How you voted: Senegal vs Mozambique

Senegal
87.5%
Draw
4.2%
Mozambique
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 2.30pm
Third-Place Playoff
Mozambique
1-1
Senegal
Senegal win 4-2 on penalties
King (90+3')
Foia (36')
Diouf (78' pen.)
Faye (25'), Mane (60'), Diouf (88')
Jul 9, 2021 2pm
Senegal
1-0
Mozambique
P (63')
Hadji Madicke Kane (15'), W (82'), M (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!