Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 5pm UK
National Complex
Liberia1 - 2South Africa
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Liberia and South Africa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Liberia
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Liberia
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 12.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.7%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
Result | ||
Liberia | Draw | South Africa |
12.19% ( -0.31) | 22.74% ( -0.39) | 65.07% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 36.66% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.91% ( 0.7) | 59.09% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.46% ( 0.54) | 79.54% ( -0.54) |
Liberia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.57% ( -0.11) | 55.43% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.86% ( -0.07) | 88.14% ( 0.06) |
South Africa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.26% ( 0.51) | 17.74% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.58% ( 0.87) | 48.42% ( -0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Liberia 12.19%
South Africa 65.07%
Draw 22.73%
Liberia | Draw | South Africa |
1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.71% Total : 12.19% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 2.56% Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 17% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 14.7% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 8.48% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 3.66% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.65% Total : 65.07% |
How you voted: Liberia vs South Africa
Liberia
20.0%Draw
6.7%South Africa
73.3%15
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-25 16:15:29
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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