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World Cup
Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Bolivia national football team

Uruguay
3 - 0
Bolivia

Nunez (15', 71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Villamil (39' og.)
Villamil (59'), Vaca (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 0-2 Uruguay
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bolivia 2-0 Peru
Thursday, November 16 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Uruguay 4-0 Bolivia

 Bolivia are awful travellers and are unlikely to cause much trouble to a Uruguay side full of confidence. The hosts must avoid complacency in a clash they are heavily expected to win, as top spot could be theirs heading into 2024 if Argentina drop points against Brazil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 83.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 3.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.73%) and 1-0 (14.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.72%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
UruguayDrawBolivia
83.81% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 12.34% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03) 3.85% (-0.0219 -0.02)
Both teams to score 28.36% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.49% (0.025999999999996 0.03)45.51% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (0.025999999999996 0.03)67.84% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.72% (0.02300000000001 0.02)8.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.09% (0.049999999999997 0.05)28.91% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
30.92% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)69.08% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.37% (-0.031099999999999 -0.03)94.63% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 83.8%
    Bolivia 3.85%
    Draw 12.34%
UruguayDrawBolivia
2-0 @ 17.75% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 14.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 14.25%
4-0 @ 9.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.57% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.9% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 83.8%
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-1 @ 5.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 12.34%
0-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 3.85%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Bolivia

Uruguay
86.8%
Draw
5.3%
Bolivia
7.9%
38
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
3-0
Uruguay
Carlos Arce (29', 79'), Moreno (45')
Quinteros (21')
Algaranaz (74')

Gonzalez (60')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
4-2
Bolivia
De Arrascaeta (15', 65' pen.), Valverde (31'), Alvarez (47')
Moreno (60', 79')
> Preview
Jun 24, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
0-2
Uruguay

Chura (16'), Vaca (47'), Sanchez (81')
Lampe (40' og.), Cavani (79')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Uruguay
4-2
Bolivia
Caceres (40'), Cavani (42'), Suarez (60', 76')
Silva (24' og.), Godin (79' og.)
rhs 2.0
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