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World Cup
Jamaica national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 24, 2022 at 11.05pm UK
Independence Park
El Salvador national football team

Jamaica
1 - 1
El Salvador

Gray (72')
King (25'), Lowe (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zavaleta (21')
Ceren (42'), Henriquez (50'), Lemus (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Jamaica and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

Last Six:
Last Game: Jamaica 3-1 Suriname
Wednesday, June 8 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Jamaica vs. Mexico
Wednesday, June 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

El Salvador

Last Six:
Last Game: Grenada 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, June 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: El Salvador vs. USA
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Jamaica 2-0 El Salvador

 The Reggae Boyz will be determined to finish this qualifying cycle strong, and they have the individual quality to get the job done against the Salvadorans. We believe that the World Cup dream for El Salvador will end here, as they still have work to do when it comes to being a consistent threat in the attack, plus they are a different team when playing away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
JamaicaDrawEl Salvador
45.35%22.71%31.93%
Both teams to score 64.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.14%35.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.06%57.94%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67%16.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08%45.92%
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51%22.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96%56.04%
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 45.35%
    El Salvador 31.93%
    Draw 22.71%
JamaicaDrawEl Salvador
2-1 @ 9%
1-0 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 6.03%
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-2 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.64%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.65%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 45.35%
1-1 @ 9.93%
2-2 @ 6.71%
0-0 @ 3.67%
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-1 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 4.09%
1-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: Jamaica vs El Salvador

Jamaica
68.5%
Draw
14.8%
El Salvador
16.7%
54
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2021 2.05am
El Salvador
1-1
Jamaica
Roldan (90')
Antonio (82')
Grant (42'), Bailey (48')
Jun 22, 2019 12am
El Salvador
0-0
Jamaica

Dominguez (10'), Ceren (42'), Jimenez (90')

Orgill (47'), Flemmings (60'), Lowe (84')
Jul 14, 2015 11pm
Group B
Jamaica
1-0
El Salvador
McCleary (72')
Austin (44'), Mattocks (45'), Watson (65'), McCleary (77')
Mattocks (81')

Flores (4'), Punyed (69'), Garcia (86')
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