MX23RW : Tuesday, June 4 08:05:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Defensor

Penarol
2 - 1
Defensor

Arezo (69'), Hernandez (88')
Rak (48'), Rodriguez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Balboa (53')
Freitas (11')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Boston River
Sunday, July 16 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-1 Danubio
Saturday, July 15 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawDefensor Sporting
34.98% (-0.144 -0.14) 29.67% (0.14 0.14) 35.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.04% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.97% (-0.45 -0.45)64.03% (0.451 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.79% (-0.319 -0.32)83.21% (0.322 0.32)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)34.52% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (-0.36 -0.36)71.24% (0.36200000000001 0.36)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.233 -0.23)34.27% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.252 -0.25)70.97% (0.255 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 34.98%
    Defensor Sporting 35.35%
    Draw 29.66%
PenarolDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 12.58% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 34.98%
1-1 @ 13.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.83% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.66%
0-1 @ 12.66% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.22% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.35%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 4
Defensor
2-2
Penarol
Balboa (11'), Navarro (90+9' pen.)
Arezo (41'), Rossi (74' og.)
Aug 7, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 2
Defensor
2-3
Penarol
Balboa (61'), Mallo (68')
Rabino (43'), Sant'Anna (55')
Mendez (5'), Laquintana (48'), Ramos (71')
Arias (45+1'), Ramos (54'), Laquintana (57'), Viatri (67')
Feb 13, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 2
Penarol
0-1
Defensor

Laquintana (90+5')
Balboa (21')
Camargo (23'), Bernal (34'), Barrios (58')
Jan 28, 2021 12am
Nov 1, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 2
Defensor
2-1
Penarol
Lamas (6'), Mendez (32')
Laquintana (40'), Ivanov (85')
(90+5')
Gonzalez (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional1494128151331
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River148332014627
5ProgresoProgreso147342524124
6Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
7Cerro Largo145361516-118
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!