MX23RW : Monday, May 20 00:09:22| >> :600:2675431:2675431:
CF Os Belenenses
Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio do Restelo
Gil Vicente logo

CF Os Belenenses
1 - 2
Gil Vicente

Sambu (1')
Maxuel (34'), Miguel Silva Manso (39'), Sambu (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Baturina (68'), Fujimoto (87')
Wilson (51'), Fujimoto (74')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between CF Os Belenenses and Gil Vicente.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Estoril 5-1 CF Os Belenenses
Saturday, July 29 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Chaves 4-2 Gil Vicente
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for CF Os Belenenses had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 0-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a CF Os Belenenses win it was 2-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Gil Vicente in this match.

Result
CF Os BelenensesDrawGil Vicente
19.5% (-1.699 -1.7) 20.84% (-1.237 -1.24) 59.66% (2.941 2.94)
Both teams to score 58.17% (1.529 1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (3.314 3.31)38.78% (-3.31 -3.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.91% (3.409 3.41)61.09% (-3.405 -3.41)
CF Os Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (0.24799999999999 0.25)33.39% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98% (0.272 0.27)70.01% (-0.268 -0.27)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (1.981 1.98)12.68% (-1.977 -1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.14% (3.939 3.94)38.86% (-3.937 -3.94)
Score Analysis
    CF Os Belenenses 19.5%
    Gil Vicente 59.66%
    Draw 20.84%
CF Os BelenensesDrawGil Vicente
2-1 @ 5.26% (-0.359 -0.36)
1-0 @ 4.64% (-0.727 -0.73)
2-0 @ 2.55% (-0.379 -0.38)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 19.5%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.72 -0.72)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.696 -0.7)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.84%
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.03% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.723 -0.72)
1-3 @ 6.82% (0.478 0.48)
0-3 @ 6.22% (0.397 0.4)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.285 0.29)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.476 0.48)
0-4 @ 3.21% (0.416 0.42)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.273 0.27)
1-5 @ 1.45% (0.285 0.29)
0-5 @ 1.33% (0.253 0.25)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 59.66%

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