Holding home advantage, we cannot write off Venezia as they battle for survival. However, their form suggests that confidence is low within the camp, and that is something which Udinese should take advantage of given their own form and being on the brink of securing their top-flight status for another year with games to spare.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Udinese in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Udinese.
