Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Genoa |
46.72% | 26.47% | 26.8% |
Both teams to score 48.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.82% | 55.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.58% | 76.42% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.4% | 23.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.32% | 57.68% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.12% | 35.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.34% | 72.66% |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.72% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.95% Total : 26.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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