It will surely not be a straightforward process - as only Empoli have conceded more goals than Roma's 13 in Serie A during 2022 - but the visitors can return to the capital with all three points.
Having lost consecutive games and starting without their first-choice striker, Spezia's downward trend will continue - with Juventus also on the horizon next week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
