Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Lazio |
52.8% | 22.13% | 25.07% |
Both teams to score 61.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.07% | 37.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.82% | 60.18% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.5% | 14.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.51% | 42.49% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% | 28.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% | 63.69% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 9.64% 1-0 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 6.21% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.8% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-1 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.59% Total : 25.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |