Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crotone | Draw | Benevento |
31.44% | 25.45% | 43.11% |
Both teams to score 54.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.19% | 48.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.09% | 70.91% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.89% | 29.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.96% | 65.04% |
Benevento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% | 22.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.84% | 56.16% |
Score Analysis |
Crotone | Draw | Benevento |
1-0 @ 8.11% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.44% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |