Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Napoli |
21.95% ( 1.34) | 22.38% ( 0.45) | 55.67% ( -1.78) |
Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.44% ( -0.3) | 42.56% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.04% ( -0.29) | 64.96% ( 0.3) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% ( 1.1) | 33.2% ( -1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.19% ( 1.2) | 69.81% ( -1.19) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.84% ( -0.68) | 15.16% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.24% ( -1.3) | 43.75% ( 1.3) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.95% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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