Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 0-3 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
10.2% ( 1.35) | 16.26% ( 1.02) | 73.54% ( -2.36) |
Both teams to score 49.64% ( 1.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.24% ( -0.5) | 37.76% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.99% ( -0.54) | 60.01% ( 0.54) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.46% ( 2.43) | 45.54% ( -2.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.64% ( 1.85) | 81.36% ( -1.85) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.15% ( -0.65) | 8.85% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.69% ( -1.6) | 30.32% ( 1.6) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.8% Total : 10.2% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.34) Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.26% | 0-2 @ 11.84% ( -0.46) 0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 9.58% ( -0.67) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 7.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.8% ( -0.61) 1-4 @ 4.57% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.19) 0-5 @ 2.81% ( -0.4) 1-5 @ 2.21% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) 0-6 @ 1.14% ( -0.2) Other @ 4.19% Total : 73.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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