Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Parma |
54.44% | 24.08% | 21.47% |
Both teams to score 50.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.64% | 50.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.7% | 72.29% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.6% | 18.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.46% | 49.53% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.96% | 38.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.19% | 74.8% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 11.84% 2-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.43% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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