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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

AC Milan
4 - 2
Udinese

Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vicenza 1-6 AC Milan
Saturday, August 6 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Udinese 2-1 FeralpiSalo
Friday, August 5 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Udinese

Milan may have underwhelmed in the transfer market, but they have a clearly defined way of playing and it has proven effective across the past two years. A home game against relatively modest opponents should be a gift, then, to start the new season, but Udinese can be tricky customers and will not be easily dispatched. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawUdinese
66.5% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04) 20.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 13.3% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)47.49% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)69.7% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)13.39% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)40.31% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.52% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)46.47% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)82.08% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 66.49%
    Udinese 13.3%
    Draw 20.2%
AC MilanDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 12.57%
1-0 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 66.49%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.67% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.3%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Udinese

AC Milan
89.3%
Draw
9.8%
Udinese
0.8%
122
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
Udinese
1-1
AC Milan
Beto (17')
Perez (25'), Deulofeu (55')
Success (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (90+2')
Castillejo (87'), Florenzi (90+5')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Kessie (90+7' pen.)
Rebic (24'), Hernandez (32'), Romagnoli (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')
Becao (68')
Zeegelaar (54')
Nov 1, 2020 11.30am
Udinese
1-2
AC Milan
De Paul (48' pen.)
Becao (24'), Arslan (39')
Kessie (18'), Ibrahimovic (83')
Hernandez (13'), Donnarumma (49')
Jan 19, 2020 11.30am
AC Milan
3-2
Udinese
Rebic (48', 93'), Hernandez (72')
Bennacer (40'), Pioli (53'), Conti (63'), Ibrahimovic (80'), Castillejo (94')
Stryger Larsen (6'), Lasagna (85')
Sema (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa341012123840-242
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari34711163659-2332
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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