Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Forfar Athletic
29.29% ( -0.12)	27.02% ( -0.36)	43.69% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 48.98% (

0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.04% (

1.25)

55.96% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.94% (

1.01)

77.06% (

-1.01)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.68% (

0.57)

34.32% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.97% (

0.61)

71.03% (

-0.61)

Forfar Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

0.82)

25.43% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75% (

1.11)

60.25% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Elgin City 29.29%

Forfar Athletic 43.69%

Draw 27.02%

Elgin City	Draw	Forfar Athletic
1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.29%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.69%