Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Stirling Albion |
42.56% ( 0.04) | 24.7% ( -0.01) | 32.73% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% ( 0.03) | 45.03% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% ( 0.03) | 67.38% ( -0.03) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.79% ( 0.03) | 21.21% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.9% ( 0.05) | 54.1% ( -0.05) |
Stirling Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.57% ( -0.01) | 26.43% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.4% ( -0.01) | 61.59% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Stirling Albion |
2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.56% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |