Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
36.43% ( 0.1) | 26.12% ( -0.18) | 37.45% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 53.84% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.32% ( 0.79) | 50.68% ( -0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.42% ( 0.7) | 72.58% ( -0.69) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.08% ( 0.44) | 26.92% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% ( 0.57) | 62.25% ( -0.56) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.67% ( 0.42) | 26.33% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.53% ( 0.55) | 61.47% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |