St Mirren
4 - 0
Kelty Hearts

Greive (15'), Jones (50'), Kiltie (59', 85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Forster (58'), Higginbotham (60')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between St Mirren and Kelty Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: St Mirren 3-1 Kelty Hearts

While Kelty Hearts fans and many football neutrals will be rooting for another Scottish Cup upset on Saturday, St Mirren are understandably the strong favourites to come out on top. Goodwin is set to name a strong side which should have enough quality to see off their fourth-tier counterparts and book their place in the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Kelty Hearts
52.03%	24.1%	23.87%

Both teams to score 53.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.01%

47.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.84%

70.16%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.58%

18.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.41%

49.58%

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52%

34.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81%

71.19%

Score Analysis

St Mirren 52.03%

Kelty Hearts 23.87%

Draw 24.1%

St Mirren	Draw	Kelty Hearts
1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.03%	1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.14% Total : 23.87%