MX23RW : Monday, May 20 11:06:27| >> :60:57:57:
Cove Rangers
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Balmoral Stadium
Ayr United

Cove Rangers
0 - 3
Ayr


Ross (18'), Vigurs (47'), Megginson (57'), Logan (71'), Scully (79')
Megginson (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McKenzie (23'), Akinyemi (68'), Ashford (77')
Reading (63'), Ashford (67'), McGinty (75'), Bangala (78')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Cove Rangers and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-5 Ayr
Friday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-5 Ayr
Friday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Cove RangersDrawAyr United
33.85% (-7.321 -7.32) 23.78% (-0.132 -0.13) 42.37% (7.459 7.46)
Both teams to score 61.66% (0.21 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.64% (0.391 0.39)40.37% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.26% (0.402 0.4)62.74% (-0.396 -0.4)
Cove Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (-3.507 -3.51)23.55% (3.512 3.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.4% (-5.349 -5.35)57.61% (5.353 5.35)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66% (3.802 3.8)19.35% (-3.797 -3.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.87% (5.891 5.89)51.13% (-5.884 -5.88)
Score Analysis
    Cove Rangers 33.85%
    Ayr United 42.37%
    Draw 23.78%
Cove RangersDrawAyr United
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.944 -0.94)
1-0 @ 6.59% (-0.867 -0.87)
2-0 @ 4.76% (-1.228 -1.23)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.927 -0.93)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.34 -0.34)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.915 -0.92)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.524 -0.52)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.85%
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.906 0.91)
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.697 0.7)
0-2 @ 6.15% (1.181 1.18)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.973 0.97)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.389 0.39)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.942 0.94)
1-4 @ 2% (0.573 0.57)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.3 0.3)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.496 0.5)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.37%

How you voted: Cove Rangers vs Ayr

Cove Rangers
23.5%
Draw
17.6%
Ayr United
58.8%
17
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 7.45pm
Cove Rangers
0-5
Ayr

McClelland (21')
McAllister (21'), Dempsey (55'), Mullin (61', 88'), Bryden (82')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Ayr
2-2
Cove Rangers
Akinyemi (29'), Kirk (37')
Scully (31'), McDonagh (52')
Sanders (68')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Cove Rangers
1-2
Ayr
Masson (90+2' pen.)
Dempsey (59' pen.), Akinyemi (68')
rhs 2.0
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