Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 4
Sep 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium
Umm Salal3 - 1Al Ahli
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Umm Salal and Al Ahli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Umm Salal 2-2 Qatar SC
Friday, September 1 at 6.15pm in Qatar Stars League
Friday, September 1 at 6.15pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Ahli 1-4 Al Gharafa
Friday, September 1 at 4.15pm in Qatar Stars League
Friday, September 1 at 4.15pm in Qatar Stars League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umm Salal would win this match.
Result | ||
Umm Salal | Draw | Al Ahli |
43.32% ( 0.2) | 24.55% ( -0.02) | 32.12% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.42% ( 0.04) | 44.57% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.06% ( 0.04) | 66.94% ( -0.03) |
Umm Salal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.32% ( 0.11) | 20.67% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.73% ( 0.17) | 53.26% ( -0.17) |
Al Ahli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.41% ( -0.09) | 26.59% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.19% ( -0.12) | 61.81% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Umm Salal 43.32%
Al Ahli 32.12%
Draw 24.55%
Umm Salal | Draw | Al Ahli |
2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.32% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.12% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-20 05:05:35
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Al-SaddAl-Sadd | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 65 | 21 | 44 | 49 |
2 | Al-RayyanAl-Rayyan | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 47 |
3 | Al Gharafa | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 44 |
4 | Al Wakrah | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Al Arabi | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 29 |
6 | Al-DuhailAl-Duhail | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 28 |
7 | Umm Salal | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 28 |
8 | Qatar SC | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 25 |
9 | Al Shamal | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Al Ahli | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 23 |
11 | Al Markhiya | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
12 | Al Mu'aidar | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 14 |
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