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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Famalicao logo

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Famalicao

Silva (38')
Fernandes (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mihaj (54'), de Haas (59'), Chiquinho (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Boavista
Monday, March 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 3-1 Famalicao

With just 10 games left to go, Vitoria de Guimaraes know that they must avoid any further slip-ups in their quest for European football. Having secured a morale-boosting result at Estoril last time out, we are tipping Pacheco's men to pick up where they left off and claim all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawFamalicao
49.93% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 24.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 25.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)49.61% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)71.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.86% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)34.14% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.83% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.93%
    Famalicao 25.28%
    Draw 24.78%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 49.93%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 25.28%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Famalicao

Vitoria de Guimaraes
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Famalicao
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 8
Famalicao
1-3
Guimaraes
Otavio (63')
Moura (11'), Youssouf (71'), Assuncao (81'), Nathan (84')
Mendes (1', 45+4'), Gaspar (77')
Silva (37'), Freitas (48'), Silva (81')
Apr 14, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Famalicao
2-1
Guimaraes
Cadiz (10'), Moura (70')
Silva (64')
Oct 31, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 11
Guimaraes
3-2
Famalicao
Johnston (21'), Luz (56', 65')
Millan (74', 83')
Mar 6, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Guimaraes
2-1
Famalicao
Estupinan (45+1'), Rochinha (47')
Silva (4'), Semedo (34'), Lameiras (65'), Soares (74'), Almeida (88')
Pepe (6')
Batubinsika (37'), Tavares (90+3')
Oct 1, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 8
Famalicao
1-2
Guimaraes
Banza (5')
Pickel (63'), Figueiras (75')
Estupinan (34'), Edwards (59')
Sacko (26'), Borevkovic (38'), Rochinha (42'), Andre (62'), Varela (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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