Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.34%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
11.84% ( -0.02) | 19.08% ( 0.01) | 69.08% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.61% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.85% ( -0.08) | 46.15% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.56% ( -0.07) | 68.44% ( 0.07) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.97% ( -0.08) | 48.03% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.75% ( -0.06) | 83.25% ( 0.06) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.76% ( -0.02) | 12.24% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.05% ( -0.04) | 37.95% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 11.84% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 19.08% | 0-2 @ 12.96% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.77% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 69.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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