Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 13.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | SC Farense |
65.77% | 20.99% | 13.24% |
Both teams to score 43.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.17% | 50.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.28% | 72.71% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.33% | 14.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.18% | 42.82% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.38% | 48.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.32% | 83.68% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 13.13% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 6.06% 4-0 @ 4.04% 4-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.19% 5-0 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.15% Total : 65.76% | 1-1 @ 9.87% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.57% Total : 20.99% | 0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 3.56% 0-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.69% Total : 13.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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