Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 85.26%. A draw has a probability of 10.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 4.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (12.83%) and 4-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.92%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 0-1 (1.67%).
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
85.26% ( -0.13) | 10.34% ( 0.04) | 4.39% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 40.45% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.06% ( 0.27) | 31.93% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.51% ( 0.32) | 53.48% ( -0.32) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.77% ( 0.03) | 5.22% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.35% ( 0.08) | 20.65% ( -0.08) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.68% ( 0.58) | 57.31% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.78% ( 0.32) | 89.22% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
2-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 7-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 85.25% | 1-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.41% Total : 10.34% | 0-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.35% Total : 4.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |