Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
11.46% ( -0.03) | 17.98% ( 0.02) | 70.55% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.77% ( -0.14) | 42.23% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.36% ( -0.14) | 64.63% ( 0.15) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.82% ( -0.15) | 46.18% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.14% ( -0.11) | 81.86% ( 0.11) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.26% ( -0.03) | 10.74% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.3% ( -0.08) | 34.7% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.46% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 17.98% | 0-2 @ 12.34% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 5.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.93% Total : 70.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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