Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
42.79% ( 1.2) | 27.68% ( 0.3) | 29.53% ( -1.51) |
Both teams to score 47.21% ( -1.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.73% ( -1.61) | 58.27% ( 1.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.1% ( -1.27) | 78.9% ( 1.27) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.05% ( -0.11) | 26.95% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.72% ( -0.14) | 62.28% ( 0.14) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.63% ( -1.97) | 35.37% ( 1.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.87% ( -2.11) | 72.13% ( 2.1) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.7) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.79% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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