Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.71%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
54.71% ( -0) | 22.29% ( -0.04) | 22.99% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.4% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.07% ( 0.2) | 40.93% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.68% ( 0.21) | 63.32% ( -0.21) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.09% ( 0.07) | 14.91% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.71% ( 0.14) | 43.29% ( -0.14) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.64% ( 0.14) | 31.36% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.27% ( 0.16) | 67.73% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.71% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 22.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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