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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
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Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Braga
3 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Djalo (8'), Horta (29'), Banza (51')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ribeiro (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Braga
Saturday, May 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 3-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

Having failed to beat the drop, Pacos de Ferreira will be looking to at least go down on a high. However, Braga have been near impenetrable at home, where they have lost just once since early November. We are backing Os Arcebispos to extend their dominance over the visitors and pick up a morale-boosting result ahead of June's cup final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 75.35%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 3-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawPacos de Ferreira
75.35% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 15.98% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02) 8.67% (-0.031099999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48% (0.012 0.01)41.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08% (0.012 0.01)63.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.64% (0.01700000000001 0.02)9.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.46% (0.039000000000001 0.04)31.54% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.7% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)51.3% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.46% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)85.54% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Braga 75.33%
    Pacos de Ferreira 8.67%
    Draw 15.98%
BragaDrawPacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 13.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.37%
3-0 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 6.3% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-0 @ 2.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 75.33%
1-1 @ 7.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.98%
0-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 8.67%

How you voted: Braga vs Pacos de Ferreira

Braga
100%
Draw
0.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 17
Pacos de Ferreira
1-2
Braga
Holsgrove (68')
Carlos (38'), Marafona (84')
de Brito Gonzaga (90+9')
Oliveira (58'), Banza (90+8')
Sequeira (20'), Horta (38'), Oliveira (81'), Santos (90+10'), Santos (90+11')
Dec 11, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Braga
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Djalo (42'), Ruiz (45+1')

Holsgrove (37')
Feb 12, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 22
Braga
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Horta (67', 90')
Horta (45'), Buta (56'), Horta (64'), Castro (90+3')
Horta (71')
Antunes (45+1')
Uilton (40'), Baixinho (66')
Oct 28, 2021 8.15pm
Group Stage
Braga
0-0
Pacos de Ferreira

Moura (28'), Leite (50'), Sequeira (80')
Moura (45+1')

Bastos (28'), Vekic (42'), de Brito Gonzaga (49'), Djalo (60'), Silva (77'), Denilson (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 3.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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