Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Tondela |
42.22% | 27.54% | 30.24% |
Both teams to score 47.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.47% | 57.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.68% | 78.31% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.09% | 26.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.77% | 62.23% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.56% | 34.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.85% | 71.14% |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Tondela |
1-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.21% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.24% Total : 30.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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