Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Boavista win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
23.2% | 22.94% | 53.86% |
Both teams to score 56.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% | 43.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.97% | 66.03% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.32% | 32.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.77% | 69.23% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.85% | 16.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.4% | 45.6% |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 6.02% 1-0 @ 5.9% 2-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.2% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 9.62% 0-2 @ 8.77% 1-3 @ 5.96% 0-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.72% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.52% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |